送交者: starfire 于 2005-11-26, 08:45:02:
Predicting an Earthquake
Although a great deal is known about where earthquakes are likely to occur, there is currently no reliable way to predict the days or months when an event will occur in any specific location.. The USGS is thus focusing its research efforts on developing long-range earthquake probability forecasts in seismically active urban areas. The only on-going USGS research in earthquake prediction is the Parkfield Prediction Experiment.
Predicting Earthquakes
-by Louis Pakiser and Kaye M. Shedlock, USGS
Is the reliable prediction of individual earthquakes a realistic scientific goal?
-debate in Nature
Earthquake Prediction Information
- by Ruth Ludwin, University of Washington.
Research Activities at Parkfield, California
Assessment of Schemes for Earthquake Prediction
-Royal Astronomical Society meeting abstracts
Earthquake Prediction, Societal Implications
-Keitti Aki, Univ. Southern California, from Reviews of Geophysics
Earthquakes Cannot Be Predicted
-Robert J. Geller, David D. Jackson, Yan Y. Kagan, Francesco Mulargia, from Science
Papers from an NAS Colloquiu