送交者: 田野 于 2011-02-16, 10:24:47:
回答: 概率是这么算得吗,你要说服左派就得下点功夫弄点硬东西出来 由 oztiger 于 2011-02-15, 23:31:45:
民主和经济发展之间的关系,研究资料汗牛充栋,不是拣一条数据就能说明问题的。
国别研究方面,比如巴基斯坦的:Democracy and Economic Growth in Pakistan。http://www.eurojournals.com/rjis_15_08.pdf
结论是:“Results demonstrate that democracy played noteworthy task in the game of economic prosperity in Pakistan.”
一般性研究,比如 Institutions for High-Quality Growth: What They are and How to Acquire Them,Dani Rodrik (http://www.nber.org/papers/w7540)
结论是:“Democracy is a meta-institution for building good institutions. A range of evidence indicates that participatory democracies enable higher-quality growth. ”
关于后共产主义国家转型经济的:The Relationship between Democracy and Economic Growth An Empirical Study for Post-Communist Transition,(http://www.grin.com/e-book/161014/the-relationship-between-democracy-and-economic-growth-an-empirical-study)
结论是:“‘is there any relationship between degree of democracy and economic growth for post communist transition?’ According to my findings for post communist countries, there is not any significant relationship between economic growth and democratic consolidation.”
在84篇共483个分析民主和经济增长关系实证研究的基础上的综合性研究:Democracy and Economic Growth: A Meta-Analysis,(http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1540-5907.2007.00299.x/abstract)
结论是:“Taking all the available published evidence together, it concludes that democracy does not have a direct impact on economic growth. However, democracy has robust, significant, and positive indirect effects through higher human capital, lower inflation, lower political instability, and higher levels of economic freedom. Democracies may also be associated with larger governments and less free international trade. There also appear to be country- and region-specific democracy-growth effects. Overall, democracy's net effect on the economy does not seem to be detrimental.”